Granted, few people are thrilled about the performance of their stock portfolios so far in 2007, not counting the handful of investors who adopted a defensive crouch and are sitting out the current market malaise in hopes for better times later in 2007.
Going back to February 26, after the Big Dip when the stock market tanked some 500 points, before rebounding slightly, the Standard & Poor’s Index has been down about one percent. The Biotech stock indexes have followed suit, falling slightly more to 1.12%, according to the Morgan Stanley Biotech Index.
My favorite biotech ETF, BBH Holdrs has struggled so far in 2007, down 15 points or so since the late February stock market debacle. Some Wall Street gurus jokingly refer to BBH as the Amgen-Genentech fund, and perhaps with good reason. Genentech, Amgen and Gilead Sciences comprise most of the fund, along with Genzyme, Medimmune, and others. So what? That’s like having Manny Ramirez and Chipper Jones anchoring your company’s beer league softball team.
Besides, BBH was hardly alone in suffering a setback in February and March, as the AMEX biotech index and iShares Nasdaq Biotech Index fell in lockstep with BBH and the rest of the equities market. Patent protection is one sour issue impacting life sciences companies – more than 70 drugs will lose their patent protection in the next few years, including Pfizer's cholesterol reducer Lipitor and BristolMyersSquibb's blood thinner Plavix. Business Week estimates that pharmaceutical companies could lose up to $100 in lost sales by 2011.
Still, my feeling is that you can’t get too excited about short-term ups and downs - - a theme I keep returning to in these pages week after week. That’s especially true of biotech, which doesn’t play by the same rules that most industries do when it comes to stock performance. In the biotech world, success is defined by clinical successes and failures – not by shock waves resulting from outside-the-industry market downturns like we saw in February. Companies that comprise the BBH – like Amgen and Genentech -- are insulated from such external pressures, primarily as a result of their well-stocked pipelines and deep reservoirs of cash and R&D talent.
Speaking of big pockets, I'm also seeing an uptick in biotech investing from the venture capital community - - a good sign that biotech does indeed march out of lockstep with the rest of the stock market. In addition, the biotech industry overall should benefit from ongoing pressure from Congress to lower drug prices. True, such pressures could slow the progress of some of the Big Pharma boys, but that will only level the playing field for the rest of the sector.
Besides, stalwarts like Amgen and Genentech should thrive just the same; both stocked with strong pipelines and high demand for its products. Sales at both companies have been strong and should only grow stronger.
That should bode well for BBH, even in a murky biotech environment. I’ve said it once and I’ll say it again: BBH is chock full of companies whose products wind up in pharmacy prescription bins and stacked up on shelves along store aisles. That fact isn’t going to change anytime soon and that’s good news for BBH investors.
Consequently, my view of BBH is that it’s a good long-term play. Companies like
Genentech, which is heavily involved in the human genome project, and
Gilead Sciences, which is working on new pharma drugs for HIV/AIDs and other diseases, could revolutionize health care.
With Genentech and Amgen swinging big bats at the heart of the order, I believe that the BBH fund continues to be a great way to play the biotech sector -- and should be for the foreseeable future.